Macklin, M. G., Johnstone, E. and Lewin, J. (2005). Pervasive and long-term forcing of Holocene river instability and flooding in Great Britain by centennial-scale climate change. Holocene 15 (7). Vol 15(7), pp. 937-943.
 Title The title of the publication or report |
Pervasive and long-term forcing of Holocene river instability and flooding in Great Britain by centennial-scale climate change | ||
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Issue The name of the volume or issue |
Holocene 15 (7) | ||
Series The series the publication or report is included in |
The Holocene | ||
Volume Volume number and part |
15 (7) | ||
Page Start/End The start and end page numbers. |
937 - 943 | ||
Biblio Note This is a Bibliographic record only. |
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Publication Type The type of publication - report, monograph, journal article or chapter from a book |
Journal | ||
Abstract The abstract describing the content of the publication or report |
The paper presents the first probability-based record of flooding in Europe that spans the entire Holocene. An analysis of 506 14C dated fluvial units collected across the whole of Great Britain provides a novel and robust methodology for improving flood risk assessment by geographically and temporally extending the record of extreme flood events. Sixteen episodes of increased flooding occurrence are identified, twelve of which (at c. 11,160, 5730, 4840, 4520, 3540, 2730, 2550, 2280, 1950, 1290, 660 and 570 cal BP) are recorded in most regions, whereas four phases (at c. 6820, 5540, 1650 and 860 cal BP) affected some parts of Great Britain more than others. In all regions large variations in flood frequency and magnitude occurred before forest clearance and indicate an underlying climatic control. During the mid-Holocene there is evidence for a hydroclimatic `system switch', which in terms of catchment hydrology in Great Britain was marked by two sudden increases in both the frequency and severity of floods at c. 5000 cal BP and, most notably, at c. 3000 cal BP. The marked non-stationary behaviour of the British flood series at these times reflects a regional hydrologic response to large-scale ocean--atmospheric circulation changes superimposed on a pattern reflecting both long-term land-use change and the preferential preservation of later fluvial units. Centennial-scale variations in the occurrence of extreme flood events in Great Britain appear to be a sensitive indicator of past and present climate change in the North Atlantic region. | ||
Year of Publication The year the book, article or report was published |
2005 | ||
Locations Any locations covered by the publication or report. This is not the place the book or report was published. |
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Source Where the record has come from or which dataset it was orginally included in. |
BIAB
(The British & Irish Archaeological Bibliography (BIAB))
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Relations Other resources which are relevant to this publication or report |
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Created Date The date the record of the pubication was first entered |
01 May 2007 |
